The world breaks everyone, and afterward, some are strong at the broken places. --Ernest Hemingway

No Need To Worry, Really

First Posted: Feb. 12, 2016, 8 p.m. CST
Last Updated: Feb. 13, 2016, 3:37 p.m. CST
Same threat and same mistakes?

The media narratives are about to change drastically. Terrorism, which has been the US adversary is about to be replaced with Russian aggression and worries of WW III. In the last decade both the EU and the US have been making significant mistakes in dealing with Putin. But, the problem is a greater one because it is a logistical failure—we've gone from the world's producer to its enforcers and that is costly and similar to Rome’s decay.

In essence we pay the EU and China for products while militarily protecting/threatening them. For the EU and NATO they produce while we pay to protect them and benefit from their production and trade deals. In China we surround their borders with troops and costly equipment but buy its products for debt. Same goes for the Middle-East: oil is an asset we pay for in military buildup, bases and cost. This is a long-term problem needing solving.

The problem is while NATO and Europe has slowly been demilitarizing the Russian Federation has been building arms. The worst problem of all, is even in the threat of defeat there is a major strategic problem with the US and the Russian nuclear arsenals. 80% of the US population lives on its coasts while Russia’s population is mostly evenly distributed. This means in case of nuclear attack the Russians have a better chance of surviving.
Recently, Turkey, a NATO member shot down a Russian jet and still provocations continue on the borders. The Russian Federation has for the first time boldly proclaimed its enemies: citing NATO’s expansion and US aggression as its highest threats. Besides this, for the first time in 20 years, Russian, and Chinese, technology has caught up to US air superiority. The Russian’s S400 is close enough in ability to take down US Raptors that it now warrants non-engagement.
But, there is no need to worry.
Sounds crazy in light of the circumstances but when we dig through history we find proof. It is estimated by NATOs war game simulations that the Russian Federation can take all the Baltic states in 3 days. Yet, much like the Soviet Bloc, these states cannot be held long term. Not even because of offensive attacks but because of an inefficient system and massive kleptocracy. The Soviet Bloc and recently Ukraine did not collapse its system because of the US but because the USSR failed to provide a decent standard of living.
Obama’s policies are not wrong and a war-mongering President is the least we need to challenge a trigger happy Putin. For the same reasons the Soviet Union collapse, under its own inefficiencies, and we should let it do so again.



This article was written by Matija Koracin. Matija is the editor and CTO of ThoughtCow, and an entrepreneur working in real estate technology in Brooklyn, NY and Reno, NV. He received his Bachelors degree in Information Technology in 2016. He plays guitar, hackie sack, and the bongo drums.


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